Predicting the complexity and mortality of polytrauma patients with machine learning models.

We aim to develop machine learning (ML) models for predicting the complexity and mortality of polytrauma patients using clinical features, including physician diagnoses and physiological data. We conducted a retrospective analysis of a cohort comprising 756 polytrauma patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) at Pizhou People's Hospital Trauma Center, Jiangsu, China between 2020 and 2022. Clinical parameters encompassed demographics, vital signs, laboratory values, clinical scores and physician diagnoses. The two primary outcomes considered were mortality and complexity. We developed ML models to predict polytrauma mortality or complexity using four ML algorithms, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). We assessed the models' performance and compared the optimal ML model against three existing trauma evaluation scores, including Injury Severity Score (ISS), Trauma Index (TI) and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS). In addition, we identified several important clinical predictors that made contributions to the prognostic models. The XGBoost-based polytrauma mortality prediction model demonstrated a predictive ability with an accuracy of 90% and an F-score of 88%, outperforming SVM, RF and ANN models. In comparison to conventional scoring systems, the XGBoost model had substantial improvements in predicting the mortality of polytrauma patients. External validation yielded strong stability and generalization with an accuracy of up to 91% and an AUC of 82%. To predict polytrauma complexity, the XGBoost model maintained its performance over other models and scoring systems with good calibration and discrimination abilities. Feature importance analysis highlighted several clinical predictors of polytrauma complexity and mortality, such as Intracranial hematoma (ICH). Leveraging ML algorithms in polytrauma care can enhance the prognostic estimation of polytrauma patients. This approach may have potential value in the management of polytrauma patients.

Damage-control orthopedics or early total care: What you need to know.

ABSTRACT: Patients with multisystem injuries are defined as multiply injured patients and may need multiple surgical procedures from more than one specialty. The importance of evaluating and understanding the resuscitation status of a multiple-injury patient is critical. Orthopedic strategies when caring for these patients include temporary stabilization or definitive early fixation of fractures while preventing further insult to other organ systems. This article will define multiple injuries and discuss specific markers used in assessing patients' hemodynamic and resuscitation status. The decision to use damage-control orthopedics or early total care for treatment of the patient are based on these factors, and an algorithm is presented to guide treatment. We will also discuss principles of external fixation and the management of pelvic trauma in a multiple-injury patient.

[Prehospital treatment of polytrauma : Ongoing challenge in prehospital emergency services]. / Präklinische Polytraumaversorgung : Beständige Herausforderung im präklinischen Rettungswesen.

Tscherne was the first to define the term polytrauma in 1966 as "multiple injuries to different regions of the body sustained simultaneously, with at least one injury or the combination of these injuries being life-threatening". This definition highlights the essential pathophysiological paradigm of polytrauma, with the life-threating characteristics resulting from injuries to multiple organ systems. The treatment of polytrauma patients begins at the scene of the accident. Important life-saving initial interventions can already be carried out on site through targeted measures and expertise of the emergency medical service team, thus improving patient survival. The advanced trauma life support/prehospital trauma life support (ATLS/PHTLS) concept is the worldwide gold standard. As prehospital treatment of severely injured patients is not routine for most emergency teams, concepts and emergency interventions must be regularly trained. This is the prerequisite for safe and effective emergency treatment in this time-critical situation.

The Diagnostic, Therapeutic and Prognostic Relevance of Neutrophil Extracellular Traps in Polytrauma.

Neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) represent a recently discovered polymorphonuclear leukocyte-associated ancient defence mechanism, and they have also been identified as part of polytrauma patients' sterile inflammatory response. This systematic review aimed to determine the clinical significance of NETs in polytrauma, focusing on potential prognostic, diagnostic and therapeutic relevance. The methodology covered all major databases and all study types, but was restricted to polytraumatised humans. Fourteen studies met the inclusion criteria, reporting on 1967 patients. Ten samples were taken from plasma and four from whole blood. There was no standardisation of methodology of NET detection among plasma studies; however, of all the papers that included a healthy control NET, proxies were increased. Polytrauma patients were consistently reported to have higher concentrations of NET markers in peripheral blood than those in healthy controls, but their diagnostic, therapeutic and prognostic utility is equivocal due to the diverse study population and methodology. After 20 years since the discovery of NETs, their natural history and potential clinical utility in polytrauma is undetermined, requiring further standardisation and research.

[Initial Treatment of Multiple Trauma].

Head trauma is a common neurosurgical complication. It is encountered daily at neurosurgical outpatient departments or after-hour emergency outpatient departments. In addition, most cases of patients with trauma transported by ambulance involve those with head trauma. Head trauma is a common and unavoidable neurosurgical injury. In case of a head injury, the neurosurgeon should verify the level of consciousness and perform a proper neurological examination. A head computed tomography should be performed immediately for any abnormalities. However, currently, severe trauma is often complicated by head trauma and various other injuries. When medical examinations and treatments focus only on head trauma, preventable trauma death cannot be avoided. Functional prognosis due to secondary brain injury may be exacerbated. This article presents a standardized procedure for the initial care of patients with multiple trauma and head injuries.

CD44+ and CD31+ extracellular vesicles (EVs) are significantly reduced in polytraumatized patients with hemorrhagic shock - evaluation of their diagnostic and prognostic potential.

Background: Hemorrhagic shock (HS) is responsible for approximately 2 million deaths per year worldwide and is caused in 80% by polytrauma. These patients need a precise and quick diagnostic, which should be based on a combination of laboratory markers and radiological data. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) were described as potential new markers and mediators in trauma. The aim of the present study was to analyze, whether the surface epitopes of plasma-EVs reflect HS in polytraumatized patients and whether cell-specific EV subpopulations are useful diagnostic tools. Material and methods: Plasma samples from polytraumatized patients (ISS ≥16) with HS (n=10) and without (n=15), were collected at emergency room (ER) and 24h after trauma. Plasma-EVs were isolated via size exclusion chromatography and EV-concentrations were detected by Coomassie Plus (Bradford) Assay. The EVs subpopulations were investigated by a bead-based multiplex flow cytometry measurement of surface epitopes and were compared with healthy controls (n=10). To investigate the diagnostic and prognostic potential of EVs subpopulations, results were correlated with clinical outcome parameters documented in the electronical patients' record. Results: We observed a significant reduction of the total amount of plasma EVs in polytrauma patients with HS, as compared to polytrauma patients without HS and healthy controls. We found significant reduction of CD42a+ and CD41b+ (platelet-derived) EVs in all polytrauma patients, as well as a reduction of CD29+ EVs compared to healthy volunteers (*p<0.05). CD44+ and CD31+ EVs were specifically altered in patients with HS (*p<0.05). Both EV populations showed a moderate correlation (r² = 0.42) with the transfusion of erythrocyte concentrate, were associated with non-survival and the need for catecholamines (*p<0.05). Conclusion: Our data reveal that polytrauma patients with a hemorrhagic shock are characterized by a reduction of CD44+ and CD31+ plasma-EVs. Both EV populations showed a moderate correlation with the need of erythrocyte transfusion, were associated with non-survival and the need for catecholamines.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Potential of Exosomal Cytokines IL-6 and IL-10 in Polytrauma Patients.

Trauma remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Polytraumatized patients need a precise, early diagnosis to avoid complications such as multiorgan failure or sepsis. Inflammatory cytokines, commonly used for diagnosis, have a short half-life, which limits their efficacy as a diagnostic or prognostic marker. In this study, we hypothesized that cytokines in exosomes could have a longer half-life, and therefore could be used as diagnostic and prognostic markers in polytrauma patients. Plasma samples from polytraumatized patients (ISS ≥ 16, n = 18) were collected in the emergency room (ER) 1, 2, 3 and 5 days after trauma. Plasma-exosomes were isolated via size exclusion chromatography from polytraumatized patients and healthy volunteers (n = 10). The systemic and exosomal concentrations of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-10, IL-1ß and TNF were measured using high-sensitive ELISAs. To investigate the diagnostic and prognostic potential of exosomal cytokines, data were correlated with clinical outcome parameters (injury severity, ventilation time, time in ICU and survival) documented in the patients' electronic records. Despite the use of high-sensitive ELISAs, IL-1ß and TNF alpha were not detected in exosomes. IL-6 and IL-10 were detectable in polytraumatized patient exosomes at all time points. A decrease over time of both systemic and exosomal IL-6 concentrations was observed. Furthermore, exosomal and systemic IL-6 concentrations moderately correlated (r = 0.63). Exosomal IL-6 in the ER moderately correlated with the Injury Severity Score (ISS) (mean 35.5 ± 11.5) (r = 0.45) and was associated with non-survival in polytrauma patients (p < 0.05). In contrast to IL-6, no correlation between systemic and exosomal IL-10 concentrations was found. Exosomal IL-10 concentrations remained unchanged throughout the observation time, whereas systemic IL-10 concentrations peaked in the ER and were significantly reduced after 24 h. Data from this study support our hypothesis that some cytokines (IL-10), but not all (IL-6), are detectable in exosomes significantly longer than they are in plasma. This might indicate that they are protected from degradation. Although we did not find a correlation between IL-10 exosomal concentration and patient outcome, our data confirm that exosomal cytokines are of interest as potential diagnostic and prognostic markers in polytrauma patients, and require further detailed research.

[Preclinical care of children with multiple trauma]. / Präklinische Versorgung von polytraumatisierten Kindern.

Severe multiple trauma in children is rare with approximately 380-550 cases per year in Germany. In addition to the S3 guideline "Polytrauma", which was published more than a decade ago, the S2K guideline "Severe multiple trauma care in childhood" was published in 2020. Accidents and especially the resulting traumatic brain injuries still represent the most frequent cause of death in children. While prehospital treatment according to Prehospital Trauma Life Support (PHTLS®) is basically analogous to that in adults which is based on the ABCDE concept (airway, breathing, circulation, disability, exposure), knowledge of age-dependent anatomical-physiological characteristics is essential. For simplification, various tools and dosing aids, such as the pediatric emergency ruler and specific emergency tables, are available. Further treatment after initial preclinical care should take place in an interdisciplinary manner in designated pediatric trauma centers.

Team Approach: The Unstable Trauma Patient.

¼ A multidisciplinary, integrated, and synergistic team approach to the unstable polytrauma patient is critical to optimize outcomes, minimize morbidity, and reduce mortality.¼ The use of Advanced Trauma Life Support protocols helps standardize the assessment and avoid missing critical injuries¼ Effective and open dialog with consulting specialists is paramount for effective team-based care.¼ Orthopaedic surgeons should play an important role in the rapid assessment of potentially life-threatening and/or limb-threatening injuries including pelvic ring disruption, open fractures with substantial blood loss, and dysvascular limbs.

[Intrahospital trauma flowcharts : Cognitive support for optimization and acceleration of resuscitation room management of patients with severe injuries and polytrauma]. / Intrahospitale Trauma-Flowcharts : Kognitive Unterstützung zur Optimierung und Beschleunigung des Schockraummanagements von schwerverletzten und polytraumatisierten Patienten.

Morbidity and mortality after severe injury remain high despite substantial improvements in management and care over the past two decades, especially in the early phase of treatment. This is mainly due to still existing and insufficient adherence to evidence-based guidelines. The latter are considered the backbone of optimum treatment of the severely injured; however, the complexity and format often still preclude their clinical acceptance and immediate use in the resuscitation room. As a result of a close colaboration between two French medical societies a series of user-friendly flowcharts were developed as cognitive aids to support early acute diagnosis and treatment for the resuscitation room management of severely injured patients. These have been translated and adapted to the current "S3 Guideline on the Clinical Management of Severe Injuries and Polytrauma" coordinated by the Association of Scientific Medical Societies in Germany (AWMF).

Mortality With and Without Whole-Body CT in Severely Injured Children.

BACKGROUND: The choice of imaging modality-the use of whole-body computed tomography (WB-CT) versus a step-wise diagnostic procedure-in injured children is controversial. In this study we availed ourselves of data from the TR-DGU, the trauma registry of the German Society for Trauma Surgery (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Unfallchirurgie), to investigate whether the use of WB-CT improves the outcome. METHODS: The TR-DGU data from the period 2012-2021 were evaluated. A three-stage analysis began with comparison of children with adults aged ≤ 50 years. As a second step, the observed and expected mortality in children with WB-CT was compared with the mortality in children without WB-CT. Finally, predictors of the use of WB-CT were identified so that a propensity score analysis of matched pairs could be performed. RESULTS: A total of 65 092 patients were included, 4573 children (7%) and 60 519 adults (93%), with differences in accident type and injury pattern. Comparison of the ratio of observed to expected mortality revealed no difference between the two groups of children (standardized mortality ratio 0.97 with WB-CT, 0.95 without WB-CT). In adults, however, there was an advantage for the WB-CT group. The propensity score analysis of 1101 matched pairs showed identical mortality in the two groups (3.9% with WB-CT, 4.0% without WB-CT). CONCLUSION: The TR-DGU data show no benefit of WB-CT compared with step-wise diagnosis in the care of severely injured children. In view of the radiation exposure involved, with the danger of inducing malignancy, the benefits and risks of the use of WB-CT in children should be weighed up carefully in team discussions.

[Pathophysiology, Diagnostics and Therapy of Pulmonary Contusion - Recommendations of the Interdisciplinary Group on Thoracic Trauma of the Section NIS of the German Society for Trauma Surgery (DGU) and the German Society for Thoracic Surgery (DGT)]. / Pathophysiologie, Diagnostik und Therapie der Lungenkontusion ­ Empfehlungen der interdisziplinären Arbeitsgruppe der Sektion NIS der DGU und DGT zur Thoraxtraumaversorgung.

Pulmonary contusion usually occurs in combination with other injuries and is indicative of a high level of force. Especially in multiply injured patients, pulmonary contusions are frequently detected. The injury is characterised by dynamic development, which might result in difficulties in recognising the actual extent of the injury at an early stage. Subsequently, correct classification of the extent of injury and appropriate initiation of therapeutic steps are essential to achieve the best possible outcome. The main goal of all therapeutic measures is to preserve lung function as best as possible and to avoid associated complications such as the development of pneumonia or Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS).The present report from the interdisciplinary working group "Chest Trauma" of the German Society for Trauma Surgery (DGU) and the German Society for Thoracic Surgery (DGT) includes an extensive literature review on the background, diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary contusion. Without exception, papers with a low level of evidence were included due to the lack of studies with large cohorts of patients or randomised controlled studies. Thus, the recommendations given in the present article correspond to a consensus of the aforementioned interdisciplinary working group.Computed tomography (CT) of the chest is recommended for initial diagnosis; the extent of pulmonary contusion correlates with the incidence and severity of complications. A conventional chest X-ray may initially underestimate the injury, but is useful during short-term follow-up.Therapy for pulmonary contusion is multimodal and symptom-based. In particular, intensive care therapy with lung-protective ventilation and patient positioning are key factors of treatment. In addition to invasive ventilation, non-invasive ventilation should be considered if the patient's comorbidities and compliance allows this. Furthermore, depending on the extent of the lung injury and the general patient's condition, ECMO therapy may be considered as an ultima ratio. In particular, this should only be performed at specialised hospitals, which is why patient assignment or anticipation of early transfer of the patient should be anticipated at an early time during the course.

Serum levels of copeptin predict adverse outcomes and improve risk prediction of TRISS and MGAP scores in patients with multiple trauma: A single-center prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple trauma deserves early prognostication and stratification. Copeptin, a precursor of vasopressin, is produced in response to stress. We examined the association between serum levels of copeptin and mortality risk in patients with multiple trauma. We aimed to also enhance the previously established Trauma-Related Injury Severity Score (TRISS) and Mechanism, GCS, Age, and Arterial Pressure (MGAP) score with the additional consideration of copeptin levels. METHODS: This single-center prospective cohort study enrolled patients who presented to the emergency department with potential major injuries. The serum levels of copeptin were measured, and the correlation to clinical severity in terms of 30-day mortality and requirement of intensive care management was analyzed. By combining copeptin levels with TRISS or MGAP, comparison between performance of the original models with the copeptin-enhanced models was performed via discrimination, calibration, and reclassification analyses. RESULTS: There was a significant increase in copeptin levels in patients who died within 30 days (median 644.4 pg/L, interquartile range [472.5, 785.9]) or were admitted to intensive care units (233.8 pg/L, [105.7, 366.4]), compared with those who survived (37.49 pg/L, [17.88, 77.68]). Adding the natural log of copeptin levels to the established TRISS and MGAP models improved the AUC of TRISS from 0.89 to 0.96, and that of MGAP from 0.82 to 0.95. Both calibrations as measured by Brier's scores and reclassification as measured by net reclassification improvement or integrated discrimination improvement demonstrated significant improvements. A Web-based calculator was built to generate predicted mortality rates of various models for convenient clinical use. CONCLUSION: Admission serum copeptin levels were correlated with clinical severity in multiple trauma. Coupling copeptin with preexisting trauma severity scores improved prediction accuracy. Copeptin shows promise as a novel biomarker for the prediction of trauma outcome. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiologic; Level III.

Accurate completion of tertiary trauma survey for inpatients at a non-trauma centre following significant trauma.

INTRODUCTION: A tertiary trauma survey (TTS) is a structured, comprehensive top-to-toe examination following major trauma [1]. Literature suggests that the ideal time frame for the initial TTS should be completed within 24-hours of a patient's admission and repeated at important moments [2-4]. Evidence suggests that formal TTS reduces the rate of missed injuries by up to 38% [2]. AIMS: To determine the rate of TTS being conducted in trauma patients in a tertiary hospital without an admitting trauma service. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of adult trauma patients admitted to Middlemore Hospital (MMH) over six months. To be included, patients were either deemed to have a significant mechanism of injury or triggered a trauma call when arriving in the Emergency Department. RESULTS: We identified 246 patients who met our criteria for requiring a TTS. 74 (30%) had a TTS completed. Of those completed, 22 (30%) were documented using a standardised form. 35 (47%) were done within the ideal timeframe (24 h); a further 21 (28%) were done within 48 h. House Officers (Junior Medical Officers) conducted the majority (80%), with the remainder being done by final-year medical students (12%), Registrars (Residents) (4%) and Consultants (Attendings) (4%). Of the 74 TTS that were completed, 21 (28%) detected a possible new injury, with 22% leading to further investigations being ordered. 14 (19%) were found to have a previously undetected, clinically significant injury on TTS (defined as 'injuries requiring further clinical intervention'). Most patients (90%) were admitted to either General Surgery or Orthopaedics. Sixty-two (54%) of patients admitted to General Surgery received a TTS; compared to just 11 (10%) admitted under Orthopaedics and 1 of 24 (4%) admitted to other specialities (including Hands, Plastics, Maxillo-Facial, Gynaecology and Medicine). CONCLUSION: 30% of patients requiring a TTS received one. 19% of TTS conducted detected clinically significant injuries.

[Occult and Retained Haemothorax - Recommendations of the Interdisciplinary Thoracic Trauma Task Group of the German Trauma Society (DGU - Section NIS) and the German Society for Thoracic Surgery (DGT)]. / Okkulter und residueller Hämatothorax nach Thoraxtrauma ­ Empfehlungen der interdisziplinären Arbeitsgruppe Thoraxtrauma der Sektion NIS der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Unfallchirurgie (DGU) und der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Thoraxchirurgie (DGT).

The management of occult and retained haemothorax is challenging for all involved in the care of polytrauma patients in terms of diagnosis and treatment. The focus of decision making is preventing sequelae such as pleural empyema and avoiding a trapped lung. An interdisciplinary task force of the German Society for Thoracic Surgery (DGT) and the German Trauma Society (DGU) on thoracic trauma offers recommendations for post-trauma care of patients with occult and/or retained haemothorax, as based on a comprehensive literature review.

Utilizing predictive machine-learning modelling unveils feature-based risk assessment system for hyperinflammatory patterns and infectious outcomes in polytrauma.

Purpose: Earlier research has identified several potentially predictive features including biomarkers associated with trauma, which can be used to assess the risk for harmful outcomes of polytraumatized patients. These features encompass various aspects such as the nature and severity of the injury, accompanying health conditions, immune and inflammatory markers, and blood parameters linked to organ functioning, however their applicability is limited. Numerous indicators relevant to the patients` outcome are routinely gathered in the intensive care unit (ICU) and recorded in electronic medical records, rendering them suitable predictors for risk assessment of polytraumatized patients. Methods: 317 polytraumatized patients were included, and the influence of 29 clinical and biological features on the complication patterns for systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), pneumonia and sepsis were analyzed with a machine learning workflow including clustering, classification and explainability using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values. The predictive ability of the analyzed features within three days after admission to the hospital were compared based on patient-specific outcomes using receiver-operating characteristics. Results: A correlation and clustering analysis revealed that distinct patterns of injury and biomarker patterns were observed for the major complication classes. A k-means clustering suggested four different clusters based on the major complications SIRS, pneumonia and sepsis as well as a patient subgroup that developed no complications. For classification of the outcome groups with no complications, pneumonia and sepsis based on boosting ensemble classification, 90% were correctly classified as low-risk group (no complications). For the high-risk groups associated with development of pneumonia and sepsis, 80% of the patients were correctly identified. The explainability analysis with SHAP values identified the top-ranking features that had the largest impact on the development of adverse outcome patterns. For both investigated risk scenarios (infectious complications and long ICU stay) the most important features are SOFA score, Glasgow Coma Scale, lactate, GGT and hemoglobin blood concentration. Conclusion: The machine learning-based identification of prognostic feature patterns in patients with traumatic injuries may improve tailoring personalized treatment modalities to mitigate the adverse outcomes in high-risk patient clusters.

[Treatment of victims with mine-explosive injuries]. / Rezul'taty lecheniya ranenykh s minno-vzryvnoi travmoi.

OBJECTIVE: To study the incidence and structure of combat gunshot surgical trauma received during the 2nd Karabakh War and to analyze the results of treatment of these victims. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We analyzed surgical treatment of 60 victims with combat gunshot surgical trauma received during the 2nd Karabakh war. In 25 (41.7%) victims, injury occurred as a result of mine-explosive trauma. These victims were divided into 3 groups depending on mechanism of mine-explosive injury. The 1st group included 7 (28%) patients who received mine-explosive injury due to indirect (propelling) effect of blast wave. The 2nd group included 14 (56%) victims in whom mine-explosive injury was caused by non-contact (distant) impact of mine fragments. The 3rd group consisted of 4 (16%) patients whose mine-explosive injuries were caused by direct impact of explosion factors on various anatomical areas. Patients were also ranked into 3 groups depending on the nature and severity of mine-explosive injury: wounded with isolated injuries (n=16, 64%), wounded with concomitant injuries (n=2.8%), wounded with combined and multiple injuries (n=7, 28%). RESULTS: Most patients underwent organ-sparing procedures. Resections were performed only in 4 cases (splenectomy - 3, nephrectomy - 1). Postoperative complications developed in 23 (38.3%) wounded (suppuration of postoperative wounds - 13, post-traumatic pleuritis - 5, clotted hemothorax - 2, subphrenic abscess - 1, phlegmon of perineum and perianal region - 2). Mortality rate was 1.7%. CONCLUSION: Timely sorting and evacuation of victims, early qualified surgical care and correct postoperative management with monitoring of vital functions can improve the results of treatment of victims with mine-explosive trauma. Autologous skin grafting for extensive defects and closure of colostomy with restoration of colon continuity were essential in rehabilitation of these patients.

Predictive Values of sTREM-1, PCT and CRP for Multiple Trauma-Induced Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Complicated with Pulmonary Infection.

BACKGROUND: The aim is to investigate the predictive values of soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 (sTREM-1), procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) for multiple trauma-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) complicated with pulmonary infection. METHODS: One hundred and twelve patients with multiple trauma-induced ARDS admitted from April 2019 to April 2021 were selected and divided into infection group (n = 49) and non-infection group (n = 63). Their general data and laboratory test indicators were compared. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was utilized to identify the influencing factors for concurrent pulmonary infection. Pearson's analysis was employed to analyze the correlations of sTREM-1, PCT, and CRP with other influencing factors. The predictive values of sTREM-1, PCT, and CRP for pulmonary infection in ARDS patients were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Based on the cutoff values, the patients were assigned to low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Survival curves were plotted by Kaplan-Meier method to compare the 28-day survival. RESULTS: The infection group had significantly higher injury severity score (ISS), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sTREM-1, PCT, CRP, and macrophage inflammatory protein (MIP)-1α, longer tracheal intubation time and intensive care unit (ICU) stay time, and lower oxygenation index than those of the non-infection group (p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that increased ISS, APACHE II score, as well as elevated blood concentrations of sTREM-1, PCT, CRP and MIP-1α were risk factors for concurrent pulmonary infection (p < 0.05). sTREM-1, PCT, and CRP were positively correlated with ISS, APACHE II score, and MIP-1α (p < 0.05). The areas under ROC curves of sTREM-1, PCT, CRP, and their combination were 0.795, 0.784, 0.756, and 0.860, respectively (p < 0.001), indicating high predictive values. The survival rate of the high-risk group (46.43%) was significantly lower than those of the low-risk group (89.58%) and medium-risk group (75.00%) (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: sTREM-1, PCT, and CRP are highly expressed in serum of patients with multiple trauma-induced ARDS complicated with pulmonary infection. The combined detection of three markers is of high predictive value.

Positive Predictive Factors for Urogenital Injuries in Severely Injured Patients with Pelvic and Spinal Fractures: Introducing the UPPS Scoring System.

Background and Objectives: Although urogenital injuries are common in severely injured patients, their diagnosis is often delayed. Predicting genitourinary injuries (GUI), especially in the immediate stages post injury, remains a challenge. This study aims to evaluate and determine positive predictive factors for the presence of GUI in polytrauma patients. Subsequently, these factors shall be used to develop an easy-to-use scoring system, deployable directly in the emergency setting. Materials and Methods: This study evaluates all severely injured patients with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) ≥ 16 admitted to the emergency departments of two German university hospitals between 2016 and 2020. These patients were retrospectively scanned for injuries of the thoracic and/or lumbar spine and/or the pelvic girdle. Demographic data was analyzed alongside trauma mechanism, type of injuries, mortality, length of hospital stays, surgeries, laboratory results, and urological treatment. Subgroup analysis was performed to compare patients with and without GUIs using t-tests. Conducting a binary logistic regression model, the significant factors were combined to create a scoring system, which was further analyzed for accuracy. Results: In total, 413 patients with an average ISS of 33.8 ± 15.0 were identified, and 47 patients (11.4%) sustained urogenital injuries with an average Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) score of 2.3 ± 1.1 (range: 1−5). The severity of the pelvic girdle injury correlated with the presence of urogenital injuries (p = 0.002), while there was no correlation with spinal injuries. Moreover, most GUIs resulted from motorcycle accidents (p < 0.001) and 87.2% of these patients were male. Patients with GUI were significantly more likely to show macrohematuria (p < 0.001) on admission and were more severely injured overall (ISS > 34). There was no significant difference in the length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, the days until discharge, or death rates. Conclusions: Factors or circumstances which reliably predict the presence of GUI were found to include the male sex, a motorcycle accident, high severity of pelvic girdle fractures, macrohematuria on admission to the emergency department, and an ISS > 34. With these findings, we introduce the 'Urotrauma in Polytrauma patients with Pelvic and/or Spinal injuries' (UPPS) score for easier prediction of GUI in the emergency setting.